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Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
KOC 41%X 31%KAS 28%

Prediction

  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.1 – 0.9
Over 2.534%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kocaelispor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.45X31%3.19228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X259%1.691269%1.46
Goals
Over 2.534%2.98Under 2.566%1.50BTTS yes41%2.42BTTS no59%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Kasımpaşa1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Kocaelispor3 May 20261-1
Kocaelispor – Kasımpaşa7 December 20250-0