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Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
RİZ 52%X 26%GB 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Rizespor 0.1, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.551%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Rizespor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X26%3.84222%4.50
Double chance
1X78%1.29X248%2.071274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Rizespor14 February 20262-2
Rizespor – Gençlerbirliği15 September 20251-0