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Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Amed SK2nd place
FB 58%X 23%AMD 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 136 rating points.
  • Fenerbahçe take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.4
Over 2.572%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X23%4.30219%5.36
Double chance
1X81%1.23X242%2.381277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.572%1.38Under 2.528%3.62BTTS yes68%1.46BTTS no32%3.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Amed SK2-1 probability 9.1%

Form

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