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Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
GÖZ 38%X 27%BJK 35%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Beşiktaş 1.4.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Göztepe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.64X27%3.64235%2.88
Double chance
1X65%1.53X262%1.611273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.12BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.35

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Göztepe22 February 20264-0
Göztepe – Beşiktaş19 September 20253-0
Göztepe – Beşiktaş19 April 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Göztepe24 November 20242-4
Göztepe – Beşiktaş15 May 20220-2
Beşiktaş – Göztepe23 December 20212-1