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Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
ERZ 19%X 25%TS 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 222 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Erzurumspor 2.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.550%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.22X25%4.07256%1.78
Double chance
1X44%2.29X281%1.241275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

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