TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 17Sunday 17 January · 12:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Eyüpspor18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Samsunspor17th place
EYP 33%X 28%SAM 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Samsunspor lead by 69 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Samsunspor -0.8, Eyüpspor -1.5.
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.08X28%3.58240%2.53
Double chance
1X60%1.65X267%1.481272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Eyüpspor · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 13.2%

Head to head

Eyüpspor – Samsunspor13 April 20261-2
Samsunspor – Eyüpspor9 November 20251-0
Samsunspor – Eyüpspor4 May 20253-0
Eyüpspor – Samsunspor8 December 20243-0