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Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Gain Park Stadyumu
Alanyaspor12th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Galatasaray1st place
ALN 16%X 22%GS 62%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 252 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.0
Over 2.557%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.18X22%4.61262%1.61
Double chance
1X38%2.64X284%1.191278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Alanyaspor · Columns: Galatasaray0-2 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Galatasaray – Alanyaspor28 February 20263-1
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray26 September 20250-1
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray9 March 20251-2
Galatasaray – Alanyaspor6 October 20241-0
Alanyaspor – Galatasaray15 April 20240-4
Galatasaray – Alanyaspor25 November 20234-0