TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Samsunspor17th place
GFK 44%X 28%SAM 29%

Prediction

  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.552%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Gaziantep FK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.30X28%3.64229%3.45
Double chance
1X71%1.41X256%1.771272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 12.7%

Head to head

Samsunspor – Gaziantep FK1 March 20260-0
Gaziantep FK – Samsunspor27 September 20252-2
Samsunspor – Gaziantep FK24 January 20252-1
Gaziantep FK – Samsunspor18 August 20240-1
Gaziantep FK – Samsunspor18 February 20241-1
Samsunspor – Gaziantep FK29 September 20231-2