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Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
KOC 27%X 29%TS 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 178 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Kocaelispor 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Kocaelispor -0.1.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.540%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.68X29%3.47244%2.27
Double chance
1X56%1.79X273%1.371271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.540%2.50Under 2.560%1.67BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Trabzonspor18 January 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Kocaelispor11 August 20251-0