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Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
FB 69%X 20%KAS 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 156 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Kasımpaşa 0.0.
  • Fenerbahçe take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.565%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X20%5.09211%8.75
Double chance
1X89%1.13X231%3.221280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.86BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Kasımpaşa2-0 probability 10.2%

Form

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Head to head

Fenerbahçe – Kasımpaşa23 February 20261-1
Kasımpaşa – Fenerbahçe21 September 20251-1
Fenerbahçe – Kasımpaşa16 February 20253-1
Kasımpaşa – Fenerbahçe15 September 20240-2
Fenerbahçe – Kasımpaşa24 February 20242-1
Kasımpaşa – Fenerbahçe8 October 20230-2