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Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Çaykur Didi Stadyumu
Rizespor13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
RİZ 29%X 27%BJK 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 134 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Rizespor 0.1.
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.51X27%3.74245%2.24
Double chance
1X55%1.81X271%1.401273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rizespor · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rizespor – Beşiktaş15 May 20262-2
Beşiktaş – Rizespor20 December 20251-0
Beşiktaş – Rizespor25 May 20251-2
Rizespor – Beşiktaş3 January 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Rizespor3 May 20243-2
Rizespor – Beşiktaş9 January 20240-4