TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
ÇOR 51%X 26%GB 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Çorum FK 1.8 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.559%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Çorum FK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X26%3.84223%4.38
Double chance
1X77%1.30X249%2.051274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.559%1.71Under 2.541%2.41BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 11.3%