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Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Çorum FK7th place
AMD 62%X 22%ÇOR 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Çorum FK -0.1.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Çorum FK 1.8.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.3
Over 2.575%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.61X22%4.63216%6.17
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.651278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.575%1.34Under 2.525%3.98BTTS yes69%1.46BTTS no31%3.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Çorum FK2-1 probability 8.9%

Form

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