TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
BJK 74%X 17%GFK 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 205 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Beşiktaş 1.4 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.559%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.36X17%5.7429%11.26
Double chance
1X91%1.10X226%3.801283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-0 probability 12.9%

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş1 May 20260-2
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK8 December 20252-2
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK10 March 20251-2
Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş6 October 20241-1
Gaziantep FK – Beşiktaş11 March 20242-0
Beşiktaş – Gaziantep FK30 October 20232-0