TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
SAM 49%X 27%ALN 25%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.05X27%3.75225%4.06
Double chance
1X75%1.33X251%1.951273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Alanyaspor1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Samsunspor27 April 20262-3
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor1 December 20251-1
Alanyaspor – Samsunspor21 April 20251-0
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor24 November 20241-1
Samsunspor – Alanyaspor18 May 20241-1
Alanyaspor – Samsunspor25 December 20233-1