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Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
KAS 56%X 26%ERZ 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa lead by 72 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa 0.0, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • Kasımpaşa take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.8
Over 2.545%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X26%3.82218%5.58
Double chance
1X82%1.22X244%2.271274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.545%2.24Under 2.555%1.81BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Erzurumspor1-0 probability 13.2%

Form

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