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Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
GB 40%X 30%KOC 29%

Prediction

  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.535%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gençlerbirliği win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X30%3.30229%3.41
Double chance
1X71%1.42X260%1.681270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.535%2.82Under 2.565%1.55BTTS yes43%2.32BTTS no57%1.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Kocaelispor1-1 probability 14.3%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Kocaelispor26 April 20261-0
Kocaelispor – Gençlerbirliği28 November 20251-0