TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 32Sunday 9 May · 13:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Rizespor13th place
İBFK 58%X 24%RİZ 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • Başakşehir lead by 87 rating points.
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X24%4.17218%5.45
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.361276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.44BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Rizespor1-1 probability 10.7%

Head to head

Başakşehir – Rizespor31 January 20262-2
Rizespor – Başakşehir22 October 20250-0
Başakşehir – Rizespor18 January 20252-0
Rizespor – Başakşehir12 August 20241-1
Başakşehir – Rizespor21 April 20242-0
Rizespor – Başakşehir2 December 20233-2