İBFK 58%X 24%RİZ 18%
Prediction
Key factors
- Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
- Başakşehir lead by 87 rating points.
- Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
- If Başakşehir score first, they win 80% of the time
- If Rizespor score first, they win 46% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.559%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X24%4.17218%5.45
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.361276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.44BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Rizespor1-1 probability 10.7%
Form
Compare →Head to head
Başakşehir – Rizespor31 January 20262-2
Rizespor – Başakşehir22 October 20250-0
Başakşehir – Rizespor18 January 20252-0
Rizespor – Başakşehir12 August 20241-1
Başakşehir – Rizespor21 April 20242-0
Rizespor – Başakşehir2 December 20233-2
Başakşehir10th place
Rizespor13th place