TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Fenerbahçe6th place
AMD 37%X 26%FB 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Amed SK take 3.0 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Fenerbahçe 1.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Fenerbahçe 0.8.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.8
Over 2.569%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.69X26%3.82237%2.73
Double chance
1X63%1.58X263%1.591274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.23BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Fenerbahçe1-1 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →