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Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Erzurumspor11th place
TS 74%X 18%ERZ 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 222 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Trabzonspor 3.0 points per game, Erzurumspor 2.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.5, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.3 – 0.7
Over 2.557%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X18%5.7029%11.70
Double chance
1X91%1.09X226%3.831282%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.31BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Erzurumspor2-0 probability 13.7%

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