TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
GS 81%X 14%GFK 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 304 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.7
Over 2.570%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X14%7.4026%17.24
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.181286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.32BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-0 probability 11.3%

Head to head

Galatasaray – Gaziantep FK17 January 20261-1
Gaziantep FK – Galatasaray8 August 20250-3
Gaziantep FK – Galatasaray3 February 20250-1
Galatasaray – Gaziantep FK17 September 20243-1
Galatasaray – Gaziantep FK29 January 20242-1
Gaziantep FK – Galatasaray2 September 20230-3