TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Göztepe9th place
BJK 56%X 24%GÖZ 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.0
Over 2.555%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.77X24%4.11219%5.21
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.301276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 11.4%

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Göztepe22 February 20264-0
Göztepe – Beşiktaş19 September 20253-0
Göztepe – Beşiktaş19 April 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Göztepe24 November 20242-4
Göztepe – Beşiktaş15 May 20220-2
Beşiktaş – Göztepe23 December 20212-1