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Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Eyüpspor18th place
SAM 60%X 23%EYP 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Samsunspor lead by 69 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Samsunspor -0.8, Eyüpspor -1.5.
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Eyüpspor score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.553%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.66X23%4.29216%6.13
Double chance
1X84%1.20X240%2.521277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Eyüpspor1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Eyüpspor – Samsunspor13 April 20261-2
Samsunspor – Eyüpspor9 November 20251-0
Samsunspor – Eyüpspor4 May 20253-0
Eyüpspor – Samsunspor8 December 20243-0