TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
KAS 44%X 30%KOC 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
Over 2.535%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X30%3.28225%3.97
Double chance
1X75%1.34X256%1.801270%1.44
Goals
Over 2.535%2.85Under 2.565%1.54BTTS yes42%2.38BTTS no58%1.72

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Kocaelispor1-0 probability 14.2%

Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Kocaelispor3 May 20261-1
Kocaelispor – Kasımpaşa7 December 20250-0