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Süper Lig · Matchday 34Sunday 23 May · 13:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
İBFK 64%X 22%ALN 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 107 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.56X22%4.59214%7.09
Double chance
1X86%1.16X236%2.781278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Alanyaspor – Başakşehir21 February 20261-2
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor21 September 20251-1
Alanyaspor – Başakşehir25 January 20255-4
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor18 August 20244-2
Başakşehir – Alanyaspor13 January 20243-2
Alanyaspor – Başakşehir14 August 20232-0