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Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Diyarbakır Stadyumu
Amed SK2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Gaziantep FK15th place
AMD 70%X 19%GFK 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • Amed SK lead by 128 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.0
Over 2.569%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.44X19%5.30212%8.67
Double chance
1X88%1.13X230%3.291281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.569%1.45Under 2.531%3.24BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Amed SK · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-1 probability 9.3%

Form

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