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Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Rizespor13th place
KAS 47%X 28%RİZ 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.6 points per game, Rizespor 0.4.
  • Kasımpaşa take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X28%3.58225%3.96
Double chance
1X75%1.34X253%1.881272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Rizespor1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Rizespor28 February 20260-3
Rizespor – Kasımpaşa28 September 20251-2
Kasımpaşa – Rizespor9 February 20253-2
Rizespor – Kasımpaşa31 August 20240-1
Rizespor – Kasımpaşa18 May 20240-0
Kasımpaşa – Rizespor25 December 20232-2