TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
KON 50%X 27%ALN 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Konyaspor -0.2, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Konyaspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.00X27%3.68223%4.36
Double chance
1X77%1.30X250%2.001273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.34Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Alanyaspor1-1 probability 13.2%

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Konyaspor14 February 20262-1
Konyaspor – Alanyaspor13 September 20251-2
Konyaspor – Alanyaspor25 May 20251-2
Alanyaspor – Konyaspor3 January 20252-1
Konyaspor – Alanyaspor20 April 20240-2
Alanyaspor – Konyaspor2 December 20232-2