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Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Göztepe9th place
TS 56%X 24%GÖZ 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 101 rating points.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.557%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Trabzonspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.77X24%4.10219%5.23
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.301276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Göztepe1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Göztepe2 May 20261-1
Göztepe – Trabzonspor7 December 20251-2
Trabzonspor – Göztepe29 March 20251-1
Göztepe – Trabzonspor26 October 20242-1
Trabzonspor – Göztepe12 March 20224-2
Göztepe – Trabzonspor23 October 20210-1