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Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
GS 58%X 24%BJK 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 99 rating points.
  • Galatasaray take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Beşiktaş 1.4.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.560%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Galatasaray win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X24%4.23218%5.54
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.401276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Galatasaray7 March 20260-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş4 October 20251-1
Beşiktaş – Galatasaray29 March 20252-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş28 October 20242-1
Beşiktaş – Galatasaray3 March 20240-1
Galatasaray – Beşiktaş21 October 20232-1