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Süper Lig · Matchday 30Sunday 25 April · 13:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Samsunspor17th place
GB 48%X 27%SAM 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Gençlerbirliği 0.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gençlerbirliği win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X27%3.72225%4.00
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.931273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Samsunspor18 January 20261-1
Samsunspor – Gençlerbirliği9 August 20252-1