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Bundesliga · Matchday 28Saturday 3 April · 14:30 · WWK Arena
Augsburg10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Hoffenheim12th place
FCA 37%X 26%TSG 37%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Hoffenheim 0.4, Augsburg -0.5.
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Hoffenheim score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.564%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Hoffenheim win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.74X26%3.79237%2.70
Double chance
1X63%1.59X263%1.581274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.74BTTS yes66%1.52BTTS no34%2.91

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Augsburg · Columns: Hoffenheim1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Augsburg – Hoffenheim10 April 20262-2
Hoffenheim – Augsburg29 November 20253-0
Hoffenheim – Augsburg29 March 20251-1
Augsburg – Hoffenheim10 November 20240-0
Hoffenheim – Augsburg7 April 20243-1
Augsburg – Hoffenheim11 November 20231-1