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Bundesliga · Matchday 28Saturday 3 April · 14:30 · Waldstadion Kaiserlinde
Elversberg7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Köln13th place
SVE 39%X 27%KOE 34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Elversberg take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Köln score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.6
Over 2.564%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Elversberg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X27%3.73234%2.95
Double chance
1X66%1.51X261%1.651273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.564%1.55Under 2.536%2.81BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Elversberg · Columns: Köln1-1 probability 10.7%

Form

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KölnLWLDD