TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Başakşehir10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
İBFK 43%X 26%AMD 31%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.5
Over 2.565%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X26%3.80231%3.27
Double chance
1X69%1.44X257%1.761274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.84BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Başakşehir · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 10.5%

Head to head

Amed SK – Başakşehir13 September 20265-0