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Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gaziantep FK16th place
FB 79%X 15%GFK 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 264 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 1.8 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 0.8, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 25% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.8
Over 2.571%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.27X15%6.8927%14.77
Double chance
1X93%1.07X221%4.701285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.50BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-0 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Gaziantep FK – Fenerbahçe14 September 20260-0
Fenerbahçe – Gaziantep FK17 March 20264-1
Gaziantep FK – Fenerbahçe27 October 20250-4
Gaziantep FK – Fenerbahçe26 April 20251-3
Fenerbahçe – Gaziantep FK2 December 20243-1
Gaziantep FK – Fenerbahçe14 January 20240-1