TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
GÖZ 66%X 21%ALN 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Alanyaspor 0.8.
  • Göztepe lead by 105 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Göztepe 0.3, Alanyaspor -1.0.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.552%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.52X21%4.73213%7.65
Double chance
1X87%1.15X234%2.921279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Alanyaspor2-0 probability 12.6%

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Göztepe12 September 20262-2
Göztepe – Alanyaspor14 March 20262-2
Alanyaspor – Göztepe19 October 20251-0
Göztepe – Alanyaspor2 February 20250-1
Alanyaspor – Göztepe23 August 20241-1
Göztepe – Alanyaspor19 March 20220-2