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Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Kasımpaşa5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
KAS 51%X 27%GB 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Kasımpaşa lead by 61 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Kasımpaşa 1.6 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Kasımpaşa 0.0, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.0
Over 2.547%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kasımpaşa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X27%3.69222%4.58
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.041273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kasımpaşa · Columns: Gençlerbirliği1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Kasımpaşa13 September 20261-2
Gençlerbirliği – Kasımpaşa9 May 20263-2
Kasımpaşa – Gençlerbirliği12 December 20250-0