TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Beşiktaş4th place
ERZ 19%X 24%BJK 57%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş lead by 169 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Beşiktaş 0.8, Erzurumspor -0.5.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.33X24%4.09257%1.76
Double chance
1X43%2.32X281%1.231276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.548%2.07Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Beşiktaş1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Beşiktaş – Erzurumspor11 September 20263-0