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Süper Lig · Matchday 22Sunday 21 February · 12:00 · Çorum Şehir Stadyumu
Çorum FK7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Samsunspor17th place
ÇOR 53%X 25%SAM 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Çorum FK 1.8 points per game, Samsunspor 0.0.
  • Çorum FK lead by 86 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Çorum FK -0.1, Samsunspor -0.8.
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.3
Over 2.566%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Çorum FK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.87X25%3.95221%4.69
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.141275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.96BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Çorum FK · Columns: Samsunspor1-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Samsunspor – Çorum FK12 September 20261-5