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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Tüpraş Stadyumu
Beşiktaş4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Trabzonspor3rd place
BJK 49%X 26%TS 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Beşiktaş take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • Derby match.
  • If Beşiktaş score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.555%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Beşiktaş win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.06X26%3.84225%3.94
Double chance
1X75%1.34X251%1.951274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Beşiktaş · Columns: Trabzonspor1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş19 October 20262-0
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor9 May 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş14 December 20253-3
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor15 February 20252-1
Trabzonspor – Beşiktaş15 September 20241-1
Beşiktaş – Trabzonspor4 February 20242-0