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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu
Göztepe9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Kocaelispor8th place
GÖZ 56%X 26%KOC 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Göztepe lead by 77 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Göztepe 2.6 points per game, Kocaelispor 1.4.
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.7
Over 2.539%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X26%3.80218%5.61
Double chance
1X82%1.22X244%2.271274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.539%2.53Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes42%2.40BTTS no58%1.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Göztepe · Columns: Kocaelispor1-0 probability 15.0%

Form

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Head to head

Kocaelispor – Göztepe18 October 20261-2
Kocaelispor – Göztepe18 April 20261-1
Göztepe – Kocaelispor23 November 20250-0