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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Samsun 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
Samsunspor17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Kasımpaşa5th place
SAM 40%X 28%KAS 32%

Prediction

  • If Samsunspor score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Kasımpaşa score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Samsunspor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.52X28%3.51232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.661272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.550%1.98Under 2.550%2.02BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Samsunspor · Columns: Kasımpaşa1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

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Head to head

Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor18 October 20264-1
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor30 January 20260-1
Samsunspor – Kasımpaşa17 September 20250-0
Samsunspor – Kasımpaşa29 March 20250-2
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor26 October 20241-4
Kasımpaşa – Samsunspor27 April 20241-0