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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Gaziantep Stadyumu
Gaziantep FK16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Başakşehir10th place
GFK 29%X 26%İBFK 45%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Başakşehir lead by 159 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Başakşehir 2.0 points per game, Gaziantep FK 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Başakşehir 0.1, Gaziantep FK -0.5.
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Başakşehir score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Başakşehir win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.48X26%3.79245%2.23
Double chance
1X55%1.82X271%1.401274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gaziantep FK · Columns: Başakşehir1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK18 October 20262-1
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir16 May 20261-2
Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK22 December 20255-1
Başakşehir – Gaziantep FK20 April 20252-1
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir23 November 20243-0
Gaziantep FK – Başakşehir24 February 20240-2