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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Rams Park
Galatasaray1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Gençlerbirliği14th place
GS 79%X 15%GB 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Galatasaray lead by 257 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Galatasaray 1.3, Gençlerbirliği -0.5.
  • Last 5 games: Galatasaray 2.4 points per game, Gençlerbirliği 0.8.
  • If Galatasaray score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.27X15%6.8727%14.97
Double chance
1X93%1.07X221%4.711285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.88BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Galatasaray · Columns: Gençlerbirliği2-0 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Gençlerbirliği – Galatasaray17 October 20260-1
Gençlerbirliği – Galatasaray18 April 20261-2
Galatasaray – Gençlerbirliği22 November 20253-2