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Süper Lig · Matchday 25Sunday 14 March · 12:00 · Konya Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu
Konyaspor15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Amed SK2nd place
KON 30%X 26%AMD 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Amed SK 2.6 points per game, Konyaspor 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Amed SK 1.3, Konyaspor -0.2.
  • Amed SK lead by 77 rating points.
  • If Konyaspor score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Amed SK score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Amed SK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.32X26%3.78243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.77X270%1.431274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.45

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Konyaspor · Columns: Amed SK1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

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Head to head

Amed SK – Konyaspor17 October 20261-0