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Süper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 16:00 · Chobani Stadyumu
Fenerbahçe6th place
Full time1-2Prediction wrong
Göztepe9th place
FB 70%X 19%GÖZ 11%

What does the market say?

FenerbahçeDrawGöztepeRinvalo70%19%11%
Market70%18%12%

✓ Agree · both back Fenerbahçe

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Fenerbahçe lead by 175 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fenerbahçe 2.0 points per game, Göztepe 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Fenerbahçe 1.1, Göztepe 0.1.
  • If Fenerbahçe score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Göztepe score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.0
Over 2.570%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X19%5.32211%8.83
Double chance
1X89%1.13X230%3.321281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.570%1.42Under 2.530%3.35BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fenerbahçe · Columns: Göztepe1-2 probability 3.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Fenerbahçe – Göztepe31 October 20261-2
Fenerbahçe – Göztepe25 January 20261-1
Göztepe – Fenerbahçe16 August 20250-0
Fenerbahçe – Göztepe26 January 20253-2
Göztepe – Fenerbahçe17 August 20242-2
Fenerbahçe – Göztepe16 April 20222-0