TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Süper Lig · Matchday 10Monday 2 November · 17:00 · Eryaman Stadyumu
Gençlerbirliği16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alanyaspor12th place
GB 37%X 29%ALN 34%

What's at stake

GençlerbirliğiRelegation47%62%65%
AlanyasporRelegation6%11%16%

What does the market say?

GençlerbirliğiDrawAlanyasporRinvalo37%29%34%
Market35%29%36%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Gençlerbirliği 37%, market Alanyaspor 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market differs: the away side 36%.
  • If Gençlerbirliği score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Alanyaspor score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Gençlerbirliği win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X29%3.44234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.581271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.41Under 2.559%1.71BTTS yes48%2.06BTTS no52%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gençlerbirliği · Columns: Alanyaspor1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Alanyaspor – Gençlerbirliği9 March 20260-0
Gençlerbirliği – Alanyaspor4 October 20252-2