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Süper Lig · Matchday 10Sunday 1 November · 13:00 · Papara Park
Trabzonspor3rd place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✓ Exact score
Gaziantep FK16th place
TS 67%X 21%GFK 13%

What does the market say?

TrabzonsporDrawGaziantep FKRinvalo67%21%13%
Market70%18%13%

✓ Agree · both back Trabzonspor

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Trabzonspor lead by 153 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Trabzonspor 0.1, Gaziantep FK -0.4.
  • Trabzonspor take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Trabzonspor score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Gaziantep FK score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.559%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X21%4.84213%7.89
Double chance
1X87%1.15X233%3.001279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.559%1.68Under 2.541%2.46BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Trabzonspor · Columns: Gaziantep FK2-0 probability 11.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK1 November 20262-0
Gaziantep FK – Trabzonspor22 February 20261-2
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK20 September 20251-1
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK23 February 20253-2
Gaziantep FK – Trabzonspor23 September 20240-0
Trabzonspor – Gaziantep FK28 April 20244-2