TR
Picks
Süper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 13:00 · Kocaeli Stadyumu
Kocaelispor8th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Rizespor13th place
KOC 40%X 31%RİZ 30%

What does the market say?

KocaelisporDrawRizesporRinvalo40%31%30%
Market37%27%36%

✓ Agree · both back Kocaelispor

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Kocaelispor 2.4 points per game, Rizespor 1.4.
  • If Kocaelispor score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Rizespor score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.535%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Kocaelispor win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.53X31%3.24230%3.38
Double chance
1X70%1.42X260%1.651269%1.45
Goals
Over 2.535%2.83Under 2.565%1.55BTTS yes43%2.32BTTS no57%1.76

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Kocaelispor · Columns: Rizespor0-0 probability 13.1% · final score

Head to head

Kocaelispor – Rizespor31 October 20260-0
Rizespor – Kocaelispor20 February 20262-0
Kocaelispor – Rizespor21 September 20251-1