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Süper Lig · Matchday 10Saturday 31 October · 10:30 · Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Erzurumspor11th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✓ Result correct
Çorum FK7th place
ERZ 34%X 28%ÇOR 38%

What does the market say?

ErzurumsporDrawÇorum FKRinvalo34%28%38%
Market36%28%36%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Çorum FK 38%, market Erzurumspor 36%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Çorum FK -0.2, Erzurumspor -0.9.
  • If Erzurumspor score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Çorum FK score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.554%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Çorum FK win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.95X28%3.57238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X266%1.511272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Erzurumspor · Columns: Çorum FK1-3 probability 4.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Erzurumspor – Çorum FK31 October 20261-3